Intercontinental Exchange Stock Performance

ICE Stock  USD 163.07  10.11  5.84%   
Intercontinental has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.86, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Intercontinental returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Intercontinental is expected to follow. Intercontinental Exchange right now retains a risk of 1.43%. Please check out Intercontinental skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the downside variance and daily balance of power , to decide if Intercontinental will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intercontinental Exchange are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak fundamental indicators, Intercontinental may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(5.84)
Five Day Return
(5.76)
Year To Date Return
1.93
Ten Year Return
209.9
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0111
Payout Ratio
0.3664
Last Split Factor
5:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.92
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
1
Acquisition by Benjamin Jackson of 1313 shares of Intercontinental at 76.16 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
 
Intercontinental dividend paid on 16th of December 2025
12/16/2025
2
NYSE Content Advisory Pre-Market Update HawkEye 360 Acquires ISA with 150 Million in Financing
12/19/2025
 
Intercontinental dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
3
Polymarket Lists War-Related Contracts as Regulators and Lawmakers Push Back
01/14/2026
4
NYSE Content Advisory Pre-Market Update AI, Robotics, Autonomy In Focus at the World Economic Forum
01/21/2026
5
Intercontinental Exchange CFO Warren Gardiner to Present at the UBS Financial Services Conference on February 9
01/26/2026
6
Intercontinental Exchange CFO Warren Gardiner to Present at the BofA Financial Services Conference on February 10
01/27/2026
7
NYSE Content Advisory Pre-Market Update First Lady Melania Trump to Ring NYSE Bell for Doc Melania
01/28/2026
8
Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd Invests 2.19 Million in Intercontinental Exchange Inc. ICE
01/29/2026
9
ICEs Environmental Market Trading Reaches Record Highs in 2025
01/30/2026
10
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About ICE Q4 Earnings
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow80.8 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-921 M

Intercontinental Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  14,708  in Intercontinental Exchange on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,599  from holding Intercontinental Exchange or generate 10.87% return on investment over 90 days. Intercontinental Exchange is generating 0.1823% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4286% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Intercontinental, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Intercontinental is expected to generate 1.9 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.9 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Intercontinental Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Intercontinental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 163.07 90 days 163.07 
about 36.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intercontinental to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.8 (This Intercontinental Exchange probability density function shows the probability of Intercontinental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Intercontinental has a beta of 0.86. This usually indicates Intercontinental Exchange market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Intercontinental is expected to follow. Additionally Intercontinental Exchange has an alpha of 0.0876, implying that it can generate a 0.0876 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intercontinental Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intercontinental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intercontinental Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intercontinental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
161.65163.07164.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
146.76184.40185.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
164.61166.03167.45
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
174.59191.86212.96
Details

Intercontinental Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intercontinental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intercontinental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intercontinental Exchange, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intercontinental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.86
σ
Overall volatility
8.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Intercontinental Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intercontinental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intercontinental Exchange can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Intercontinental paid $ 0.48 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About ICE Q4 Earnings

Intercontinental Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intercontinental Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intercontinental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intercontinental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding576 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

Intercontinental Fundamentals Growth

Intercontinental Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Intercontinental, and Intercontinental fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intercontinental Stock performance.

About Intercontinental Performance

By analyzing Intercontinental's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Intercontinental's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Intercontinental has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Intercontinental has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.14 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.14 

Things to note about Intercontinental Exchange performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intercontinental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Intercontinental Exchange help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Intercontinental paid $ 0.48 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About ICE Q4 Earnings
Evaluating Intercontinental's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Intercontinental's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Intercontinental's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Intercontinental's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Intercontinental's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Intercontinental's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Intercontinental's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Intercontinental's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Intercontinental's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Intercontinental's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Intercontinental's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Intercontinental's price analysis, check to measure Intercontinental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intercontinental is operating at the current time. Most of Intercontinental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intercontinental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intercontinental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intercontinental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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